Smart Money

The Impact of Revolut's Banking License on the Future of Digital Banking

2025-08-21 07:24:21

Since its establishment in 2015, Revolut, a UK-based fintech firm, has swiftly evolved from a money-transfer service to a leading digital banking platform. A significant milestone in its journey was acquiring a European banking license from the European Central Bank via Lithuania in 2018. This landmark achievement transformed Revolut from a simple financial app into a fully licensed bank, enabling it to offer a comprehensive range of banking services across Europe. With a customer base exceeding 45 million personal users and half a million business clients globally, the banking license empowers Revolut to directly compete with traditional financial institutions. The license allows Revolut to provide full current accounts, loans, and deposit protection under the European deposit guarantee scheme. Additionally, this strategic move enhances Revolut's capability to develop its financial super app, which integrates banking, stock investment, and budgeting tools into a single platform. Expanding Across Europe Securing the European banking license was a critical step for Revolut, facilitating its expansive growth strategy across the continent. By 2020, Revolut had launched full banking services in key markets such as Poland, Lithuania, France, Italy, and Portugal. This expansion enabled the fintech firm to offer fundamental financial products typically associated with traditional banks, including deposit protection and business loans. In Portugal, Revolut encountered a mixed reception. While some welcomed its entry as a necessary disruption to established banks, local institutions expressed concerns about potential unfair competition, questioning whether Revolut adhered to the same regulatory standards. Despite these criticisms, Revolut pressed forward with its expansion, leveraging the license to introduce various services, such as mortgages and branded loans, throughout the European Economic Area (EEA). This initiative not only broadened Revolut's product offerings but also solidified its position as a formidable player in the European banking landscape. The Significance of the Banking License Revolut's European banking license signifies more than just regulatory approval; it marks a transformative moment in the company's evolution. The license provides a legal framework that enables Revolut to offer a broader range of financial products, allowing it to directly hold deposits and offer lending products without relying on third-party banks. One of the most notable benefits of the license is the European deposit guarantee scheme, which protects customers' deposits up to €100,000. This safeguard is crucial for building trust with users, particularly in markets where Revolut competes against long-established financial institutions. The license also enables Revolut to penetrate markets that were previously inaccessible. Moreover, the banking license positions Revolut as a stronger competitor to traditional banks, many of which are encumbered by legacy systems and slower innovation cycles. With its app-first approach, Revolut continues to offer users greater convenience, lower fees, and modern financial tools. This focus on innovation, combined with the banking license, positions Revolut to capture further market share across Europe. Challenges and Criticism Despite the advantages provided by the banking license, Revolut has faced criticism. In Portugal, local banks accused Revolut of being subject to different regulatory standards than traditional banks, sparking debates on whether fintech companies like Revolut should adhere to the same stringent regulations. Furthermore, Revolut's rapid expansion across multiple markets has not been without technical difficulties. The company faced scrutiny over its financial controls and auditing processes, particularly in the UK, delaying its UK banking license acquisition until 2024 after a three-year wait. Revolut's Chief Financial Officer acknowledged that the company's internal systems initially struggled to keep pace with its growth, necessitating significant IT infrastructure updates. Nevertheless, Revolut has worked diligently to address these issues. The acquisition of the European banking license allowed the company to continue its expansion and strengthen its presence across the continent. Despite regulatory challenges and criticism, Revolut remains committed to maintaining compliance with European banking standards and delivering high-quality services to its customers. Revolut's Global Ambitions Revolut's ambitions extend beyond Europe as it seeks to bolster its global footprint. In 2024, the fintech company applied for a banking license in Colombia, aiming to compete in the Latin American market alongside established players like Nubank. This move follows its earlier success in securing a banking license in Mexico, further entrenching its presence in the region. After a protracted regulatory review, Revolut finally obtained a banking license in its UK home market. Although this license comes with certain restrictions, it sets the stage for the company to offer essential financial products such as current accounts, mortgages, and consumer loans. This diversification of offerings will help reinforce Revolut's position within the competitive UK banking landscape. Additionally, Revolut is preparing for an Initial Public Offering (IPO), anticipated to significantly enhance its capital base and facilitate further expansion into untapped markets. As the company continues to grow its customer base and refine its financial systems, the upcoming IPO is expected to be a pivotal moment in Revolut's journey, enabling it to unlock new opportunities and solidify its status as a leading player in the global fintech arena. Conclusion Revolut's acquisition of a European banking license marked a major turning point in its history, enabling the expansion of its services across Europe and direct competition with traditional banks. The license not only enhances Revolut's credibility as a robust financial institution but also provides its customers with increased security and a broader range of financial products. Despite facing regulatory hurdles and criticism from traditional banking institutions, Revolut continues to grow and innovate. Its global ambitions, supported by a strong foundation in Europe, indicate that Revolut is well-positioned to emerge as one of the leading digital banks worldwide.

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The Influence of Political Stability on Fiscal Space Amidst Climate Risks

2025-08-16 13:27:06

Climate risks have a profound impact on fiscal space, with sovereign bond yields and debt ratings serving as indicators of the financial challenges. The role of political stability and financial development in reducing these risks is pivotal, highlighting their significance for fiscal sustainability in the long run. Climate risks, encompassing the potential negative socio-economic consequences of climate change, pose considerable fiscal threats, particularly through their impact on fiscal space. For instance, a major disaster triggered by climate change could require substantial fiscal expenditures for relief and recovery efforts. Similarly, extreme heat due to global warming might lead to significant agricultural damage, prompting governments to offer subsidies to affected farmers. Broadly, public spending on climate change adaptation and mitigation stands as one of the largest fiscal demands globally. Combined with other significant fiscal demands, such as those stemming from an aging population, climate change-related fiscal expenditures pose a substantial threat to fiscal space and sustainability in the future. A recently published ADB Economics Working Paper analyzes the effect of climate risk on fiscal space across 199 countries from 1990 to 2022. We measure fiscal space using sovereign bond yields and ratings on foreign currency long-term sovereign debt. Elevated sovereign bond yields and downgraded sovereign debt ratings signal higher borrowing costs and default risks, indicating a deterioration in fiscal space. We also explore the mitigating role of political stability and financial development in climate-related fiscal risks. Specifically, we assess whether more politically stable and financially developed economies are less susceptible to these risks. Political stability is likely to reduce these risks as it increases the probability of more sustainable fiscal policies, such as a robust medium-term fiscal framework. Consequently, a more stable political environment is likely to lessen the impact of climate shocks and other shocks on fiscal sustainability. Moreover, political stability fosters more cautious, rational, and cost-effective government planning in response to potential climate shocks, helping to preserve fiscal space. Financial development is also anticipated to reduce climate-related fiscal risks. In financially developed economies, businesses and households have access to insurance and other financial instruments that protect them from the adverse effects of climate shocks. This reduces the need for substantial fiscal outlays, thereby mitigating the negative impact on fiscal space. Additionally, financial development increases the credit available to businesses and households to help them absorb the effects of potential climate shocks. Our findings reveal that a one-unit increase in climate vulnerability results in a significant one percentage point increase in bond yields in countries with high political stability risks, peaking at 2 years post the initial impact. Conversely, in countries with lower political stability risks, the response of bond yields is not statistically significant. In the case of financial development, economies with low financial development are more vulnerable to climate-related sovereign risks. Bond yields rise by approximately 0.6 percentage points for these economies, peaking at 2 years post the initial climate shock. Meanwhile, in economies with high financial development, no significant effect is observed. Overall, our empirical analysis indicates that climate vulnerability negatively affects fiscal space, with the most pronounced effects in countries most susceptible to climate change and where fiscal space is most limited. We also find that these effects are reduced in countries with more stable political environments and more developed financial markets. More specifically, our evidence shows that climate risks are associated with lower bond risk premiums and higher sovereign ratings in countries with less exposure to both external and internal conflict. Furthermore, better financial development weakens the link between climate risks and fiscal space. Financially developed countries do not experience a climate-related bond risk premium or a persistent decline in sovereign ratings due to climate vulnerability. While fiscal consolidation is crucial for mitigating the adverse effects of climate risks on fiscal space, our results suggest that political stability and financial development can also contribute. Political stability is valuable in its own right, but our analysis provides evidence of a significant additional benefit in protecting fiscal space from climate risk. Similarly, our findings reinforce the argument for governments to promote financial development further.

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Glimpse into the Global Investment Horizon by 2025: Shifts and Prospects

2025-08-21 03:53:37

Forecasting the investment terrain for 2025, it's clear that the global financial ecosystem is on the cusp of transformative developments. With the world economy rebounding from the pandemic's impact, there's a projected upsurge in the significance of emerging economies within the investment sphere. Investors, wary of inflation in developed markets, are pivoting towards regions with robust growth trajectories, such as Southeast Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America. Investment decisions are increasingly being influenced by sustainability considerations. ESG investing is gaining momentum, with a heightened focus on addressing climate change and endorsing ethical business operations. The pursuit of substantial financial gains is now complemented by a desire to ensure that investment choices align with personal values, prompting a significant transformation across sectors like renewable energy, electric mobility, and eco-friendly farming. Amidst the volatility of conventional markets, there's a burgeoning interest in alternative investment avenues. Cryptocurrencies, private equity, and commodities are capturing the attention of investors who are enticed by their high-reward potential, despite the associated risks. By 2025, digital platforms are anticipated to play a pivotal role in global investment, with advancements in fintech and robo-advisory services democratizing access to international markets. The forthcoming era of global investment promises to be multifaceted and vibrant, offering a wealth of opportunities for those prepared to embrace strategic risks.

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The Fed Has Cut Interest Rates: What Does This Mean for Asia and the Pacific?

2025-08-06 17:01:50

The recent interest rate cuts by the United States Federal Reserve present opportunities and challenges for central banks in Asia and the Pacific. Policymakers must adopt a balanced, country-specific approach to navigate potential inflationary pressures, exchange rate volatility, and capital inflow dynamics. The United States’ Federal Reserve (Fed) kicked off a long-anticipated monetary policy loosening cycle at its September Federal Open Market Committee meeting, cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Committee members project another 50 basis points of cuts this year, and that Fed loosening will continue in 2025. This could have significant consequences for the global economy, including for developing economies in Asia and the Pacific. Inflationary pressures in have continued declining in the region this year, as commodity prices stabilized and the lagged effects of last year’s monetary tightening took hold. As a result, most of its central banks have paused their hiking cycle, with some switching to policy rate cuts. Others may now follow suit.  In shaping their policy stance, central banks in emerging economies need to take account of interest rate differentials with the US, which impact capital flows and exchange rates. The Fed rate cut opens up the opportunity for more of the region’s central banks to loosen policy to stimulate domestic demand and growth, without triggering capital outflows and exchange rate depreciations. Still, since the pace and length of the Fed loosening cycle remains uncertain, an appropriate policy response in Asia and the Pacific will require caution and a careful balancing act, for a number of reasons. One option for central banks is to cut rates in the wake of the Fed. This would support growth, but it may also revive price pressures and encourage excessive borrowing in economies where household and corporate debt levels are already high. Alternatively, central banks in the region could continue to maintain a relatively tight monetary stance—e.g., by cutting interest rates with a lag and/or less than proportionally with respect to the Fed. In such a case, the lower interest rates in the US could increase capital flows to Asia and the Pacific, as investors adjust their portfolios toward assets with more attractive yields. This could boost equity and bond markets across the region, providing some breathing space to more vulnerable economies. However, capital inflows could also present some challenges, as significant swings in short-term portfolio investment could increase financial market volatility.  Additionally, higher capital inflows may result in exchange rate appreciations vis-à-vis the US dollar in the region. This would benefit economies heavily dependent on oil and other commodity imports, reducing price pressures and improving trade balances. For economies with high US dollar-denominated debt, the depreciation of the US dollar would make it easier to sustain the debt burden. On the other hand, exchange rate appreciations would boost imports, with potentially negative effects on current accounts. In the medium term, stronger currencies could also hamper export growth, particularly for economies reliant on exports of traditional manufacturing goods, such as garments or textiles, which depend mainly on price competitiveness. This variety of potential effects and channels suggests that  policy responses to the Fed loosening cycle in Asia and the Pacific will need to be country-specific and nuanced, and include a combination of the following measures. As well as adjusting interest rates, monetary authorities in the region could rely on targeted measures, such as on banks’ reserve requirements, to affect financial and liquidity conditions. Forward guidance can also be an effective tool to anchor inflation expectations and reduce uncertainty and financial volatility, by clearly laying out the future path of monetary policy for market participants and economic agents. For economies receiving increasing capital inflows, well-developed financial markets are key to absorb the inflows and turn them into productive investment in the domestic economy. Policy action should focus on increasing competition, efficiency, and transparency in the financial sector, with the central bank or other overseeing independent authority providing adequate supervision.  To deal with the risks associated with rising capital inflows, capital flow management measures and macroprudential policies can be used, including measures aimed at mitigating exposure to currency mismatches.  Where capital inflows result in excessive currency appreciation, targeted intervention in foreign exchange markets could help reduce volatility, while also increasing foreign exchange reserves. Fiscal policy could be used the cushion the impact of falling exports. Depending on fiscal space, stimulus could be directed at several objectives, including boosting consumer spending; incentivizing activity in particular sectors with stronger multiplier effects on the rest of the economy; and infrastructure, energy-saving, climate-adaptation, and other projects aimed at addressing structural gaps, which would also boost the economy’s productive potential. The beginning of the Fed monetary loosening cycle brings challenges and opportunities for Asia and the Pacific. Lower interest rates in the US and a weaker dollar could lower import costs, boost financial markets, and spur larger capital flows toward the region. But these positive developments would not be without risks, including possible exchange rate volatility and renewed inflationary pressures. Policymakers will need to adopt a flexible approach, remaining vigilant and proactive in taking advantage of the opportunities and addressing the risks.